China will become a Democracy

Despite having a distinctly prolonged cold spell of late, I couldn't help but notice that over 80% of the time snow was predicted, it didn't. Even when it did, it didn't fall anywhere remotely near the amounts they were predicting.


Just for clarification - they were wrong, most of the time. So as I have done on a previous occasion, lets transplant this situation into the Private Sector...


Mr Useless of Stupid and Pointless Technologies PLC is doing his job of predicting say... estimated cost spend over the next quarter. He thinks he's got it all under control and come th endof the quarter is totally wrong. He then, lets summise, "learnt valuable lessons" about interpreting information and promises the Management Team improved results. Cut to the end of Q2, and he is slightly less wrong than before, but still plain wrong.


Would Stupid and Pointless Technologies PLC do something? You bet, P45's would be issued, Company car collected etc etc. 

And yet, the Met Office consistently provides us with inaccurate information, whilst telling us how much improved it is. 


Well, I draw your attention to this little gem, courtesy of the BBC. 

The UK Met Office is debating what to do with its long-term and seasonal forecasting after criticism for failing to predict extreme weather.

Trés interessant, non?


It goes on...

...the Met Office's seasonal and annual forecasts rely partly on statistical projections, not just computer modelling

 And I'd be interested to know what this statistical projections are, however, this preceeded the above sentence

the Met Office failed to warn of extreme events in their seasonal forecasts because they are employing a computer model based on the assumption of man-made climate change.

 Hah, take that IPCC, if that isn't Yet another bullet in the IPCC coffin I don't know what is.

and then there was this quote from Professor Mobbs (a researcher at the MO)

If you run the (computer) model one year it might not come out right but over 50-100 years you will be able to predict that the climate is getting warmer on average but not if, say, 2031 will be a warmer or a colder year.

 Confirming that yes, they are indeed using AGW as part of their statisical model. Well I'm not surprised in the slightest, but why is it a veritable nobody - a maverick weather forecaster - Piers Corbyn, was able to predict the cold snap?

Also, it comes back to the same bullshit as we currently have with AGW and the Met office, if you predict something for long enough, evenutally you will be right. 

I predict China will become a democracy.


Fuck you Labour.




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